Saturday, April 21, 2012

Early Season American League Storylines To Keep An Eye On As The Year Progresses

I understand that we are still in the opening month of baseball and that it was just over three weeks ago when the Athletics and Mariners were playing overseas in Japan to kick off the MLB season. I also recognize the fact that the season is tremendously young, as the Cleveland Indians for example have played just 11 games thus far.

However, my excitement for the MLB season is shared by millions of other fans and it is never too early to start to look at some of the biggest storylines of the young season and predict how they may affect the outcome of divisional races and playoff seedings in October.

Mark Teixeira's Struggles On The Left Side Of The Plate: 

Before Mark Teixeira signed his lucrative 8-year, 180 million dollar contract with the Yankees in 2009, he was just as effective batting lefty as he was batting righty. In his 6 previous years in the league with the Texas Rangers (2003-2007), Atlanta Braves (2007-2008), and Los Angeles Angels (2008), Teixeira was such a lethal hitter because of his switch hitting ability on both sides of the plate.

In 2005 with the Rangers, Tex had 37 home runs and batted .304 when he hit lefty and he added 6 homers and a .293 batting average when he swung the bat righty. In 2008 with the Braves and Angels, Teixeira hit 26 home runs and batted .311 from the left side of the plate, while also adding 7 homers and a .303 average from the right side.

However, since Teixeira has come to New York, things have changed. Although his power numbers on the left side have remained impressive over the past three years, his batting average is way down. Two years ago, although he hit 23 home runs lefty, he batted .244 from that side of the plate. Last year, he hit 24 home runs from the left side, but batted an awful .224 when he swung the bat lefty. To put that in comparison, aside from his rookie year, his previous career low batting average from the left side was .266, which was his average in 2004 with Texas. The short porch in right field has become a home run heaven for hitters at Yankee Stadium (just ask Curtis Granderson). However, Teixeira's average from the left side has dropped so dramatically because he is constantly swinging for the fences by trying to pull the ball to right field. Through the Yankees first 14 games, Teixeira is batting .273 from the left side and he has already struck out 5 times batting lefty, compared to just once batting righty.

Injuries Are Severely Hurting The Red Sox: 

Daisuke Matsuzaka, who had Tommy John Surgery last year due to a right elbow injury, is still recovering from the surgery and he will be unable to enter the starting rotation until June. Without Daisuke, the Sox four and five starters, Felix Doubront and Daniel Bard, haven't look great as of yet. Doubront has only lasted five innings in both of his starts, while Bard, who pitched very poorly this spring, was rocked in his first start for five runs in five innings against the Rays.

Also, Carl Crawford, who received off-season surgery on his left wrist, will be unable to return to the Sox lineup until late May. The Sox outfield injury concerns multiplied exponentially after last year's AL MVP runner-up, Jacoby Ellsbury, was put on the 15-day DL due to a right shoulder injury, which he sustained while sliding into second base against the Rays. Without Crawford and Ellsbury, two of the best outfielders in the entire league, the Sox have struggled to find a productive outfield combination. They have been forced to play Jason Repko in center-field due to the injuries, and Repko has just 1 hit in 9 at-bats.

As if matters weren't worse enough for the Sox, Andrew Bailey, who was expected to become the Sox new closer to replace Jonathan Papelbon, injured his thumb during the spring and will be out until after the All-Star game. With Daniel Bard, last year's setup man in the rotation, and Alfredo Aceves having to move to the closer role, the Sox bullpen has let up a ton of runs. Mark Meancon, who had 20 saves last year with the Houston Astros, has let up five home runs and 10 earned runs, while recording just 6 outs in 4 appearances this season. In his last appearance, he let up 6 runs, 3 home runs, and didn't record an out in the 8th inning vs the Rangers, and his 49.50 ERA got him sent down to Triple A-Pawtucket.

The bullpen struggles of the Red Sox were evident in their implosion against the Yankees on April 21st. After Felix Doubront pitched 6 innings of 1 run ball, the bullpen blew a lead that apperared to be insurmountable. Vicente Padilla got just one out in the 7th inning and let up a grand slam to Nick Swisher, which cut the Sox lead from 9-1 to 9-5. When Matt Albers came in to relieve Padilla, he let up a three run home run to Mark Teixeira and the Yanks got to within one run of the Sox after a 7 run 8th inning. The Bo Sox didn't fare much better in the 8th inning. Alfredo Aceves, the Sox closer, was lit up by the Yanks. He was unable to record an out and let up 5 earned runs before being pulled for Justin Thomas, who came in and allowed a two run double off the center-field wall to Russell Martin. Once everything was said and done, the Sox had allowed 7 runs in the 8th inning. After leading by 8 runs entering the top of the 7th, the Red Sox bullpen had allowed 14 runs in two innings and they trailed by 6 runs by the bottom of the 8th.

The Tigers and Rangers Look As Good As Expected:

With the difficulties of the American League East, the Detroit Tigers are by far the most popular pick to win their division of any team in the AL, especially after they signed Prince Fielder to a 9-year, 214 million dollar contract this off-season. Despite the huge signing the Angels were able to pull off by getting Albert Pujols to come to LA, the reigning two-time AL Champion Texas Rangers are still considered the favorites to take home the AL West crown. Neither the Tigers or Rangers have disappointed in the early season.

The power of Cabrera and Fielder right in the middle of the Tigers lineup is any pitchers nightmare to have to face (just ask Josh Beckett). They have combined for 6 home runs and 20 RBI's in the team's first 13 games. If Cabrera and Fielder can get some timely hitting from Brennan Boesch, Delmon Young, or Alex Avila, their lineup will be nearly impossible to hold down. Cabrera has also played fairly well in his transition to third base and he will only improve as the season goes along.

Obviously, Justin Verlander, the reigning AL Cy Young and AL MVP, is going to be a workhorse for the Tigers and a dominate ace. Aside from his ninth inning against the Rays in his second start when he let up 4 runs to blow the win, Verlander has looked nearly unhittable. The even more promising sign for the Tigers is that Rick Porcello, who has somewhat struggled since his impressive rookie season in 2009, has looked very good in his first few starts.

The 12-2 Texas Rangers are once again being led by their powerful offense, as their isn't an easy out in the entire Texas lineup. The Rangers lead the AL in nearly every hitting category including average, hits, runs batted in, runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

2010 AL MVP Josh Hamilton and Mike Napoli have started the year off incredibly hot, as they both have hit 6 home runs and Hamilton has 15 RBI's and Napoli has added 12 RBI's. Adrian Beltre and Nelson Cruz have started with 2 home runs each and both power hitters are likely going to be around 30 home runs if they can stay healthy. As if that wasn't enough offense firepower, Michael Young and Ian Kinsler are two of the most underrated hitters in the entire league, and their starts to the 2012 season have been business as usual. Michael Young, is hitting .400 and has 12 RBI's, while Kinsler, who is arguably the best power hitting second basemen along with Robinson Cano, has hit 4 early season home runs.

Albert Pujols' Power Drought:

No matter how good Albert Pujols was in his first 11 years in the MLB with the St. Louis Cardinals, questions were obviously going to be risen about his lengthy 10-year, 254 million dollar contract with the Angels. Although I questioned the move to give a 31 year old a contract that will be paying him 30 million dollars 10 years from now when he is the age of 41, I thought it was a sacrifice that had to be taken in the long run because Albert is such a dominant player and is the best hitter in the game.

Although I suspected Albert's struggles to begin during the ladder stages of his contract, his 2012 season has not started as most people in L.A. would have hoped.

Albert hasn't hit a home run through the Angels first 14 games and they have started the season 5-9 after all the hype that was surrounding them this off-season. The Halos are already 7 games behind the Rangers in the AL West. Pujols, who has hit at least 34 home runs in every year of his career, has not hit a home run in 58 at-bats this season.

Although fans in Los Angeles are rightfully concerned, they should not freak out over Albert's slow start. Last year, Albert began the season with just 1 home run over the Cardinals first 12 games. He also went without a home run in a 27 game span last season from April 24th to May 22nd, which was apart of a larger 36 game stretch where he had just two home runs from April 24th to June 2nd. Looking at a month drought like that, you might have expected Albert's power numbers to have been down last year. However, he still had 37 home runs with the Cards, and he could easily hit 35 plus home runs this year once he starts to get it going, which he is destined to do.

Finally, Albert isn't showing any worries over his lack of power early on in the season. He said, "Listen, it's not being cocky, but I know I can hit. I showed that in the spring. I've shown that for 11 years and I don't think it's going to go away.... I think if you watch over my 25 at-bats or 30 at-bats, they've been really quality at-bats. So, if you're watching the game, I think I'm putting good at-bats, and that's all I can ask for myself... I'm not going to change the way I prepare myself just because I want to do a little bit more. I'm still going to get prepared and get my swing. I'm not going to overswing, because I feel good. I'm seeing the ball good. Last year I went through this, and I think if I would've been striking out or rolling over a lot of ball, I would've said something's wrong, I have to stay back. But I'm putting in good swings."

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